Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 291.446115 329.575244 372.003714 422.932547 482.687046 550.916134 635.206102
2025-06-01 233.384203 282.996192 343.213929 422.546755 525.601542 656.748023 839.224024
2025-06-08 198.273031 251.310739 319.389665 414.782808 547.615870 730.089168 1007.081945
2025-06-15 176.786000 232.136069 306.459066 416.020696 577.765610 815.099117 1204.352903
2025-06-22 157.089188 212.135436 288.763964 406.482395 588.891260 871.902607 1368.338297
2025-06-29 143.367246 198.496977 277.763433 404.191498 609.063841 944.075516 1571.069231
2025-07-06 128.087276 180.841805 258.650782 386.526696 601.385971 968.243209 1693.253576
2025-07-13 122.687784 177.144527 259.859826 400.633614 647.515022 1091.526385 2029.708823
2025-07-20 118.587464 174.900674 262.867583 417.717687 700.923859 1237.349309 2450.935784
2025-07-27 111.905552 167.927449 257.472680 419.570475 726.661282 1334.618679 2794.534406
2025-08-03 103.550083 157.540632 245.435557 408.169145 725.433907 1376.874809 3021.693948
2025-08-10 96.607625 148.911260 235.562014 399.503031 728.144673 1427.581875 3284.463437
2025-08-17 93.692514 146.868001 236.978451 412.350484 777.060198 1591.416265 3906.818407
2025-08-24 88.959933 141.377942 231.868157 412.146728 798.770326 1697.999506 4411.728302
2025-08-31 83.627926 134.442181 223.543270 404.607961 803.272921 1763.879439 4819.656167
2025-09-07 79.996760 130.219041 219.790262 405.809083 827.486611 1884.615031 5456.157543
2025-09-14 75.316782 123.800377 211.428233 396.556461 826.052680 1937.692685 5883.676477
2025-09-21 71.906023 119.451474 206.639024 394.333963 841.094570 2039.461617 6539.834395
2025-09-28 66.988463 112.044117 195.444140 377.193638 817.125794 2025.375772 6737.980013
2025-10-05 65.973172 111.797961 198.164224 390.882132 872.892775 2259.883982 8098.212735
2025-10-12 65.283139 112.103610 201.979471 407.455073 939.139060 2546.161627 9893.433491
2025-10-19 63.096838 109.407040 199.511699 409.252144 965.967735 2712.729307 11230.429636
2025-10-26 59.803976 104.382150 191.916004 398.192797 955.389823 2749.690617 11907.975181